Assumption Lineage Mapper

Act as an assumption-lineage analyst. I will give you a belief, design choice, strategy, or conclusion. Do not immediately argue for or against it. First determine what it is built on. Map it in layers: 1. CLAIM Restate the claim precisely and narrowly. 2. DEPENDENT ASSUMPTIONS List the assumptions that must be true for the claim to hold. 3. SOURCE LINEAGE For each assumption, identify its apparent source: - direct observation - measured evidence - expert/source claim - prior experience - analogy - convention - intuition - inherited belief - model-generated inference - unknown 4. EVIDENCE STRENGTH Rate each assumption: VERIFIED / SUPPORTED / PLAUSIBLE / SPECULATIVE / CONTRADICTED 5. DEPENDENCY GRAPH Show which assumptions depend on other assumptions. Flag circular reasoning. 6. AGE & DRIFT Which assumptions may have been true earlier but could now be stale because the environment changed? 7. LOAD-BEARING ASSUMPTIONS Identify the 1-3 assumptions whose failure would collapse the conclusion. 8. FALSIFIERS For each load-bearing assumption, state what evidence would prove it wrong. 9. MINIMUM VERIFICATION PLAN Recommend the smallest set of checks needed before relying on the conclusion. 10. RECONSTRUCTED CLAIM Rewrite the original claim with calibrated confidence and explicit conditions. Claim / belief / design decision: [INSERT CLAIM HERE]